22 Aug 2022

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Standard Deviation: How to Calculate Standard Deviation

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Academic level: College

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Question 1 Which security is riskier? Why? 

For stocks held individually, the best measure of risk would be the coefficient of variation, which is the proportional fraction of standard deviation to the expected/required returns. The coefficient of variation (CV) measures the ratio of risks to a single return.

The coefficient of variation is calculated as follows:

CV = stdev_r / ER

Where:

CV is the coefficient of variation

Stdev_r is the standard deviation of returns, and

ER is the expected rate of return

Security A CV would be 30 / 6 = 5 while security B would be 10 / 11 =0.909.

Therefore, security A is riskier with coefficient of variation (CV) of 5. Meanwhile, security B's CV is only 0.91 which implies it is less risky.

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Question 2 what is Stock A’s beta? 

The formula for solving the beta of the stock is ( Oleinikova, Kravets, & Silnov, D. S. 2016) :

 B = Covariance / Variance

Where:

B = Stock's beta

Let Cov = Covariance between the stock and the market.

In order to solve for the this covariance (cov), the formula below is used:

 Cov = C or ∗ market std ​ ∗ stock​  std

Where:

Cor = Correlation between the stock and the market

std = Standard deviation

The variance of the market is simply the market's standard deviation multiplied by itself.

Market variance = 20 * 20 = 400

Cov = 0.70 * 20 * 40 = 560

B = 560 / 400

Therefore, beta value for stock A is 1.4

Question 3 what is Crisp’s required return? 

The formula for the multi-factor APT model is:

 RR = rf​ + b1 ∗ (r1 ​− rf​) + b2 ∗ (r2​ − rf​)  

Where:

RR = Required return

rf = Risk-free rate

b = Sensitivity or volatility of an asset

r1 or r2 = Expected return on individual assets.

RR = 6 + 0.7 * (12 – 6) + 0.9 * (8 – 6)

The required return is 12%

Question 4 What are the expected return and standard deviation of a portfolio invested 30% in Stock A and 70% in Stock B? 

The standard deviation is calculated as the square root of the variance (Tong et al., 2014). So, first I will use the formula given below to calculate the variance of the portfolio. And, thereafter calculate the standard deviation

 VarP​=Wt_a^2 ∗ stdevn_a^2​ + Wt_b^2 ∗ stdevn_b^2 ​+ 2 ∗ Cor ∗ stdevn_a ∗ stdevn_b  

Where:

Var = Variance

Wt = Weight of the stock (or percentage of investment)

stdevn = Standard deviation

Cor = Correlation coefficient

VarP = 0.3^2 * 40%^2 + 0.7^2 * 60%^2 + 2*0.2*40%*60% = 0.2868

The square root of 0.2868 = 0.5355 which is equivalent to 53.55 %

Therefore, the portfolio has a standard deviation of 53.55%

The weighted mean of the stock returns that are included in the portfolio will form its the expected return.

The expected return rate is calculated using the following formula:

ER = Wa * Era + Wb * Erb

Where:

W is weight of invested asset

Er is the expected return of an asset

ER = 0.30 * 0.12 + 0.70 * 0.18 = 0.162

Now 0.162 * 100 to convert back into percentage

Therefore, the portfolio has an expected return rate of 16.2%

References

Wan, X., Wang, W., Liu, J., & Tong, T. (2014). Estimating the sample mean and standard deviation from the sample size, median, range and/or interquartile range.  BMC medical research methodology 14 (1), 135. 

Oleinikova, S. A., Kravets, O. J., & Silnov, D. S. (2016). Analytical estimates for the expectation of the beta distribution on the basis of the known values of the variance and mode.  International Information Institute (Tokyo). Information 19 (2), 343. 

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StudyBounty. (2023, September 16). Standard Deviation: How to Calculate Standard Deviation.
https://studybounty.com/standard-deviation-how-to-calculate-standard-deviation-essay

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