24 Nov 2022

80

Germany Population Analysis

Format: APA

Academic level: College

Paper type: Coursework

Words: 583

Pages: 3

Downloads: 0

Introduction

Population statistics is one of the data regarding a country that can be used to determine many factors regarding the said country. Different economic measures can be obtained as a result of population data, including growth rate and the determination of the population under the poverty line. Moreover, it is easy for national planning where trends on population growth are available. As a result, it is critical to obtain population data and notice trends to enable future planning catering for expected growth in population. This paper tables a report on the population statistics in the different cities in Germany.

Descriptive Statistics 

Descriptive Statistics 

1987 

1995 

2001 

2011 

2012 

           
Mean 

167756.7857 

179391.5165 

176621.989 

174172.7637 

176304.3077 

Standard Error 

22399.8612 

23450.76594 

23050.36241 

22851.326 

23382.15861 

Median 

83303 

90470.5 

91899 

86471 

87510.5 

Mode 

#N/A 

#N/A 

#N/A 

#N/A 

Standard Deviation 

302190.649 

316368.129 

310966.39 

308281.242 

315442.5654 

Sample Variance 

91319188316 

1.00089E+11 

96700095704 

95037324175 

99504012097 

Kurtosis 

63.55605332 

68.10327026 

66.60348475 

61.88345663 

62.4533616 

Skewness 

6.985991134 

7.308523911 

7.243737721 

6.979623779 

7.016914589 

Range 

3260000 

3425835 

3341052 

3242708 

3324662 

Minimum 

45583 

47382 

49657 

50560 

Maximum 

3260000 

3471418 

3388434 

3292365 

3375222 

Sum 

30531735 

32649256 

32145202 

31699443 

32087384 

Count 

182 

182 

182 

182 

182 

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Assuming that the missing values present zero (which is not the case, since population cannot be zero), the above descriptive statistics has been determined for the years highlighted. The population in the various cities shows growth between the 1987 to 1995 period as seen from the mean values of the growth. Nevertheless, the population experienced slight reductions over the following census. This statistic can be confirmed from the median values, which also confirm that the population was experiencing reduction based on the median values obtained. While the 1987 data can be taken with a pinch of salt due to the addition of zero values to cater for cities without census data, data from the year 1995 is fully reliable as all values are present for analysis. Consider the table below, which represents the data explained above:

Figure 1 : Median and Mean Value Graph 

Z Testing 

Having determined the measures available to each city, the dataset also presents the different outliers, which the data has. Using z-tests, the population data was subjected to measures to determine outliers. From the above data, an analysis has provided variances, which shall be used to determine outliers. The table below was obtained after conducting z-tests for two means:

z-Test: Two Sample for Means (Data 1) 

data set 1 

Data set 2 

Data set 3 

 
 

247923 

245778 

245778 

236420 

236420 

240086 

Mean 

179012.8895 

176239.9116 

176239.9116 

173828.8564 

173828.8564 

175951.9227 

Known Variance 

0.95 

0.96 

0.96 

0.95 

0.95 

0.99 

Observations 

181 

181 

181 

181 

181 

181 

Hypothesized Mean Difference 

 

 

 

26994.10994 

 

23470.90124 

 

-20506.9928 

 
P(Z<=z) one-tail 

 

 

 
z Critical one-tail 

1.644853627 

 

1.644853627 

 

1.644853627 

 
P(Z<=z) two-tail 

 

 

 
z Critical two-tail 

1.959963985 

 

1.959963985 

 

1.959963985 

 

In each of the years, there were at least 181 observations. In this case, the analysis for the year 1987 was left out as this dataset contained non-numeric data. From the above data, variances as provided in the previous table are rounded off to two decimal places and inserted for optimal results. Again, the data confirms the above assertion that the population dipped at one point, and then begins to recover. Adding the mean to the z-value, one finds that cities with a population value over 206,007 people is an outlier city. On the minimum value, cities having people under the minimum population of 152,019 have less than expected individuals.

Correlation

Taking the values for the city of Aachen and assuming that all cities are growing at the same rate, a correlation table for the data is provided:

 

Column 1 

Column 2 

Column 3 

Column 4 

Column 5 

Column 1 

       
Column 2 

#DIV/0! 

     
Column 3 

#DIV/0! 

#DIV/0! 

   
Column 4 

#DIV/0! 

#DIV/0! 

#DIV/0! 

 
Column 5 

#DIV/0! 

#DIV/0! 

#DIV/0! 

#DIV/0! 

From the above data, correlation is available for all five values. According to this information, correlation coefficient is one, showing that a linear positive relationship exists between the data points. As a result, it can be said that a positive correlation exists between the census years for the city, thereby supporting a linear growth path.

Conclusion 

Conclusively, data from the various censuses has shown that there exists population growth in Germany despite experiencing a drop in population in the 1990s. Nevertheless, the country is on the path to population recovery having registered population growth in recent years.

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Reference

StudyBounty. (2023, September 14). Germany Population Analysis.
https://studybounty.com/germany-population-analysis-coursework

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