Moore’s Law originated in 1970, and its simplest version states that the speed of a processor or the overall processing power of a computer doubles after every two years . Technicians check shows that there is very little popularity in the term although the law is still accepted. The simplified version of this law states that the number of transistors in a regular or affordable computer doubles every after two years which is the same thing reported earlier. However, explaining the law in terms of the doubling number of transistors makes the law more accurate (Brock & Moore, 2006). When one thinks about the speed of the processor back in the 1970s to around 2010, it invokes a feeling about the law reaching its limit. In these times, the processing speed was ranging from 740 KiloHertz to 8 MegaHertz.
Between 2000 and 2009 the speed difference was not that much since the processing speed was ranging from 1.3 GigaHertz to 2.8 GigaHertz (Brock & Moore, 2006). This is an indication that the speed hardly doubled within that period of 10 years. However, it happens this way because we are talking about the processor speed or the processing speed and not the number of transistors. While looking at the number of transistors within the same span of between 2000 to 2009, we notice that there were 37.5 million transistors in 2000 while the number went up to 904 million in 2009 (Brock & Moore, 2006). It is, therefore, important to acknowledge the accuracy that comes along applying the law to transistors. The transistors talk may not be understood by a computer user or a technician when it is expressed in figures. The simplest way of explaining this is that the earlier CPUs had single speed while the newer models contain a rating that refers to a single CPU.
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When it comes to technological advancements, both the hardware and the software are seen to be advancing at the same rate. However, there can be optimization of one aspect for another real issue but is fundamentally an important note that they go hand in hand when it comes to advancement ( Gallaugher, 2012) . When we consider the revolution of smartphones, for instance, we note that the hardware change made it necessary to have the software upgraded. Another person may argue that it is the advancement in the wireless signals that resulted in the development of the hardware. I think that technological progress has followed the following path:
Figure 1 showing the computing advancing rate
For years now, transistors are getting very small. This is an indication that some years to come, we might have the size reduced to that one of an atom. Doubling the count of transistors after every 18 months means that the size of the processor will need to be increased. We also seem to be moving to the times when the CPU of smartphones is likely to be the same size as the screen of the smartphone. This means that the decade after that will be marked by the individual engineering of every atom that is present in one’s phone.
Kryder’s Law is a prediction that he made as a result of his work. The law predicts that the earlier trends in the computer disk trends are likely to persist in the future. He adds that the patterns are expected to double the exponential rates (Walter, 2005). In his work, however, he observed that the progress was much faster than Moore’s two years span. Kryder’s Law is a prediction about a double disk density on the magnetic storage that would occur once after every thirteen months.
References
Brock, D. C., & Moore, G. E. (2006). Understanding Moore's Law: Four Decades of Innovation . San Francisco, CA: Chemical Heritage Foundation.
Gallaugher, J. (2012). Getting the most out of information systems . (n.p.)
Walter, C. (2005). Kryder's Law. Scientific American , 293 (2), 32-33. doi:10.1038/scientificamerican0805-32
