Transformations have been experienced regarding the international nuclear order. Issues such as the safety of energy supplies, volatile oil prices, and climate change contribute to the desire for future application of nuclear power (Shaffer, 2011). Many countries today are exploring the potential for building nuclear power plants besides the existing countries with operational plants. While it is challenging to forecast the rate of nuclear power expansion, the potential for increased nuclear technology across the world is high.
The nuclear non-proliferation (NP) system is also facing new challenges such as the increasing threat posed by global terrorism and nuclear proliferation in countries such as Iran and North Korea. The expansion of nuclear power is due to the eroding confidence in the NP regime. In turn, this raises the issue of the future of global security because of the possibility of the increased nuclear power to result in a greater risk of proliferation of nuclear weapons and nuclear terrorism.
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It is, however, unlikely that a nuclear power country can transfer nuclear weapons to a terrorist group to enable such groups to attack a common enemy. The reason for this is that the country will not stay anonymous and other nuclear powers will retaliate. Besides, conventional terrorism shows that most attacks have been attributed to specific groups, some of which have been traced back to state sponsors.
It will be challenging for both state sponsors and terrorist groups to stay anonymous following a nuclear terror attack. Nuclear proliferation will be difficult because of issues such as the limits of deterrence. The future of nuclear, nevertheless, depends on the effectiveness or ineffectiveness of attempts to toughen the global NP system agreements tasked with controlling global nuclear matters. The NP system needs a new multifaceted nuclear model to address the future of nuclear power sufficiently, even though it is unclear if countries will agree to form such a model.
References
Shaffer, B. (2011). Energy politics . University of Pennsylvania Press.
