A Brief Description of the Scenario Chosen That Limited Global Warming to 2 Degrees Celsius
To achieve reduction of global temperature to a maximum of 2 degrees Celsius, the developed countries in EU and the US should have 2030 as the peak emission year, the annual reduction rate at 20%, the prevention of deforestation at 8%, and promotion of afforestation at 7%. For the other developed countries, the peak emissions year should be at 2030, the reductions begin year at 2021, annual reduction rate at 15%, the prevention of deforestation at 5% and the promotion of afforestation at 7%. For China and India, the peak emissions year should be at 2030 and 2040 respectively, the reduction begin year at 2021, the annual reduction rate at 10%, the prevention of deforestation at 8% and the promotion of afforestation at 5%. For the other developing countries, their peak emissions year should be in 2030, their reductions begin year in 2021, their reduction rate at 5%, their prevention deforestation rate at 8% and their promotion of afforestation rate at 5%.
Different Requirements for Developing and Developed Nations
According to the entries as described above, the developed nations have different annual reduction rates from the developing nations. The united states and the EU nations have the highest at 20% because they have the resources and the means of law enforcement required to achieve such an annual reduction rate. However, the less developed a nation is the less resources and means to enforce all the requirements for reducing annual reduction rates. Consequently, the expected annual reduction rate reduces with the level of development of the nations in the graph to the lowest of 5% expected from other developing nations. However, in deforestation of deforestation, the rate expected for all nations is similar because of the minimal resources required to achieve it.
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Practicability of the Presented Scenario
The scenario described above is practical because of the emergence of green energy. Investors are rapidly investing in green energy and, therefore, the probability of reducing carbon emissions at such a scale is high. However, the above scenario is most likely to be complicated by lobbying from energy companies aimed at influencing governments to be lenient on them. Energy companies that deal in carbon emitting fuels are highly influential because of their wealth and are likely to succeed in derailing the implementation of policies that enable the achievement of the above scenario (Laville, 2019). Another factor that has the potential to make the listed reduction rates is poverty in developing countries. Most of the deforestation that takes place in such countries is driven by poverty. Therefore, such countries will have a difficult time reducing the deforestation rates which might delay the achievement of the reduction rates.
Other Strategies That Could Be Used To Slow Down Global Warming
Other strategies that are absent from this model and would help in reduction or slowing down of climate change is tackling poverty. There is a correlation between poverty and the use environmentally unfriendly products. All environmentally friendly products from electric cars to biodegradable packaging costs significant financial resources (Hallegatte, Fay, & Barbier, 2018). Therefore, if the poverty line in the world is raised, it will be possible for most people to afford such products hence accelerating the efforts against climate change.
The data Table
Emission peak year | Reduction begin year | Annual reduction rate | Prevent deforestation | Promote afforestation | ||
US | 2030 | 2021 | 20% | 8% | 7% | |
EU | 2030 | 2021 | 20% | 8% | 7% | |
Other Developed | 2030 | 2021 | 15% | 8% | 7% | |
China | 2030 | 2021 | 10% | 8% | 5% | |
India | 2040 | 2021 | 10% | 8% | 5% | |
Other developing | 2040 | 2021 | 5% | 8% | 5% |
Generated from: https://www.climateinteractive.org/tools/c-roads/
References
Hallegatte, S., Fay, M., & Barbier, E. B. (2018). Poverty and climate change: introduction. Environment and Development Economics , 23 (3), 217-233.
Laville, S. (2019). Top oil firms spending millions lobbying to block climate change policies, says report. The Guardian , 22 .